Saturday, September 5, 2020


The left is now for the educated elite

 Today, skin color and religion are politics. But how many care about finances? Thomas Piketty does - and he believes that identity conflicts have increased precisely because we talk too little about economics.

 It was the taxes that made it possible - both colonialism and the welfare state. From the 16th century, the European states began to levy significantly higher taxes than China, writes the French economist Thomas Piketty in his new book "Capital and ideology". This is one of the explanations for Europe's dominance: with taxes, larger armies and navies could then be financed. In "Capital and ideology" he has collected data on the world's economic history from the bourgeois society through colonialism and industrialization to the present day.

 The period 1914–1980 is the great exception: then the Western world experienced an unparalleled material redistribution. Healthcare, education and rights took a leap forward, funded by higher taxes. The richest percent share of national wealth fell from 70 to 20 percent without harming growth; during the tax period, some of the highest economic growth rates ever observed occurred. After 1980, injustices began to grow again. The richest percent has received a larger share of world growth than the poorest 3.5 billion. In the USA, inequality is now greater than in 1910. Today the world's most unequal region is the Middle East, where the distance between rich and poor can be as great as in the French slave colony Saint-Domingue around 1780. Despite the ambition to write global history, Piketty is noticeably fond of Swedish social democracy. But today, European social democracy has abandoned all real ambitions to reduce inequality and redistribute wealth. The left has become "the parties of the educated elite". Voters react by becoming nationalists. It is "very convenient for the elites to explain everything by stigmatizing the alleged racism of the members of the less-favored groups," writes Piketty.

 You have just written 1,164 pages about the history of economic injustice, but who cares about economics? Politics is about identity, skin color, religion and nationality; that's what engages people today. How do you want them to discover that they have common financial interests? - One of the most important explanations for the increase in identity-based conflicts, I think, is that we have put an end to the economic discussion. For 20-30 years we have said that there is only one possible economic policy, that governments can do nothing to reduce inequality, the only thing they can do is control their borders. Then we should not be surprised if the whole political discussion begins to be about border controls and identity.

 Piketty points out that for a long time we have also neglected the legacy of colonialism and slavery. When Haiti, which was France's largest slave colony, became free, the Haitians were forced to compensate the slave owners for lost property, a debt that Haiti paid from 1825 to 1950. - Today, Haiti wants compensation for that, which I understand. The difficulty is to reconcile the universal perspective on equal rights for all with a recognition of specific cases of discrimination that have taken place, or are still ongoing. I get worried when it's just about symbols and identity issues. We have these conflicts over identity and over migration, but we lack constructive economic solutions, both in terms of class differences and racial discrimination. We need to start discussing economics again.

 Piketty wants to apply social democracy of European - or even Swedish - model to the rest of the world. Can that recipe work again, in a new context? Was not the model with high taxes and generous welfare dependent on the long boom of the 20th century? - There is a major economic upswing in China and India, and we will see an economic upswing in Africa in the future. If the condition for the welfare state is high growth, then it is already met in many developing countries. There is much to learn from Europe, but also from other parts of the world. In terms of progressive taxation of inheritance and income, the United States was a pioneer in the early 20th century.

 In his book, Piketty often describes growth as a reward for the right kind of political decision. Indian states that dare to try a land reform, for example, are experiencing better growth than their neighbors. How do you see the conflict between growth and the environment? - Ten percent of the world's countries account for more than half of global emissions. We need to change our criteria for economic development. I always talk about national income, not GDP. If you pump up oil for 100 billion euros, your GDP has increased by 100 billion, but national income has not been affected at all, because the oil was there from the beginning. When you then burn the oil, you get carbon dioxide emissions, and whatever price you want to put on the emissions, it gives a negative national income rather than an increase in GDP. "One of the most important explanations for the increase in identity-based conflicts, I think, is that we have put an end to the economic discussion.

 Piketty describes how the workers' parties that built welfare have been transformed into parties for the highly educated. From being parties for people with problems, they have become parties for people without problems. Was this development inevitable? - In the 1950s and 60s, it was the low-educated who voted for the Social Democrats in Sweden, Labor in the UK, the Democrats in the US, and so on. Gradually, instead, it will be the highly educated voters who vote for these parties. My interpretation is that it is because the parties have failed to renew their redistribution policy. They have abolished progressive taxation for the highest incomes. This exposes the social contract to great risks, as it threatens the idea of ​​economic justice on which the welfare state rests. If you are a billionaire today, you should move your fortune to the People's Republic of China, where inheritance tax is zero; privatized companies and natural resources can be passed on to the next generation. It is very strange that Sweden has also abolished the inheritance tax, while it is 40–50 percent in Japan and South Korea. Youth unemployment in many EU countries is around 20 percent, in Spain 40 percent. This is a whole generation that the labor market does not need. A redundant generation equals violence and social problems. Where should the jobs come from? It becomes even more worrying if you consider that computerization is expected to take up a large proportion of jobs in many industries. - The young people have been let down, especially after the corona crisis. The paradox is that we are said to live in an innovative knowledge economy at the same time as investments in education have stagnated. The investments are at the same level as in 1980–1990, while the proportion who go on to higher education has increased from around 20 per cent in 1980 to 50, 60, 70 per cent.

 An explanation for why in 2014, Thomas Piketty spoke at a seminar in Almedalen arranged by the Social Democrats. Even today, six years later, Piketty speaks warmly about the Swedish Social Democratic tradition of ideas. Thomas Piketty attracted great international attention in 2013 with his book "Capital in the twenty-first century". With the help of long data series, it showed how the development of income and wealth in the industrial nations has moved towards an increasing concentration of capital in fewer and fewer hands and towards growing economic gaps (= Capitalist Accumulation). This summer, Piketty's new book, "Capital and Ideology", was published. - We have shrinking growth and growing inequalities, and sometimes a very worrying situation for young people. This is, I think, precisely because the educational investments are stagnant. Finally, let's talk about migration. In the 1960s, the newly independent colonies were surrounded by enormous optimism, they would rise on their own and become modern, successful countries. 50 years later, all you can do is try to escape from there. How do we get a world where no one needs to escape? - State formation is a process that can take hundreds of years. In the 1960s, we thought that the new, independent states would be able to do it in 5-10 years, but that was not realistic. In addition, these countries have experienced the largest population increase in history. Egypt had ten million inhabitants a hundred years ago, now they have one hundred million. Imagine the investments that would be needed for schools and infrastructure. Every society needs to develop a trust in the state's ability to uphold justice - not a perfect justice, but at least an acceptable injustice. - In Sweden's case, it is fascinating to see that you were one of the most unequal countries in Europe until 1910–20. In local elections, a single wealthy voter could have 50 percent of the vote; this is something that Donald Trump would not dare to propose today. Inequalities can disappear faster than we think.
 That's what makes me optimistic in the long run.


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