The second cold war is already here
Peace and freedom in our time will only come
if we stop the powers that would rather see war and dictatorship.
The second cold war is already here. China, Russia
and Iran act in a
coordinated, long-term and purposeful manner to threaten the interests of Sweden and our
allies, the position of democracy and the rules-based world order. To win
this second Cold War, we in the West must learn from the first.
It took too long before we acted on the
realization that the adversary, the Soviet Union,
was already waging a war against us. It is time for the democratic world to wake up again. China's aggression against Taiwan,
Russia's war of aggression against
Ukraine, and Iran's
proxy warfare through terrorist organizations such as Hamas are all examples of how the Second Cold War takes a
warm form.
Russia's
warfare is made possible, among other things, by both Iran and China assisting with weapons and financial
means. These three countries are cooperating ever more closely,
but not on the basis of any shared positive conviction. Russia is fascist, China
is communist and Iran
is Islamist.
The cooperation derives its energy from a
common object of hatred: free people in free societies. The
liberal democratic world order, where people's freedoms and rights are
protected and where there is no room for such dictators. Russia, China
and Iran
are the evil axis powers of our time.
Putin's war in Ukraine is not primarily about oil
or gas. It is about revanchism and fever dreams of a resurrected
tsarism. Xi Jinping's threats and aggression against Taiwan are not primarily about the island's
strategic position, but rather about a historical delusion that Taiwan should belong to China, to succeed where Mao failed.
In Tehran,
the mullahs are motivated by religious fanaticism that finds even more extreme
expression in the proxy armies of Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthi regime. Against dictators driven by revanchist delusions,
ordinary diplomacy does not work as a countermeasure. Concessions only encourage the dominance behavior. When Britain's Chamberlain let Nazi Germany annex
parts of what was then Czechoslovakia
and proclaimed "peace in our time", he did so in good faith. The
hope was that the Führer would calm down. The result, we know, was the
opposite: Hitler took the concessions as
proof of the weakness of the Western powers and Chamberlain's naivety paved the
way for the Second World War.
The policy that was supposed to be tapering
turned out to lead to escalation.
When Russia attacked Georgia and
began its occupation, the West acted with similar weakness. Instead
of responding, drawing a line in the sand and confronting the dictatorship we
let it happen. In the naive hope that this would be enough and in fear
of escalating the conflict. The result was again the opposite, Russia continued its war against the West by
attacking and occupying Crimea. The
absence of adequate responses then again led to escalation when Russia launched its full-scale war of invasion
of Ukraine.
We can still avoid a third world war, but then it requires us to end the
policy of appeasement and instead arm up, respond and hold our red lines. From
the point of view of China, Iran and Russia, the war against us is
already in full swing.
During the first Cold War, it also took time
for the US
and its allies to understand what was going on. A now classic historical
anecdote claims that Stalin was asked by his underlings if they could ask to
buy a turbojet engine from the British to develop their new fighter aircraft. Stalin
is said to have replied that the British could not be so stupid as to sell
their technology to them.
Stalin was wrong. The
Soviets were allowed to buy blueprints and engines, developed the MiG 15
fighter and used it against the West and its allies during, the Korean War. When we
trade with and allow investment from these countries in the hope of economic
growth, the invisible cost to us is very high.
Or as Lenin put it: the capitalist will
sells us the rope we will hang him with.
Russia
regularly sabotages critical infrastructure in Europe,
be it IT systems, power lines or transport routes. China carries out targeted hacker attacks against
democratically elected parliamentarians. Iran plans assassinations of
citizens in our countries recruiting gang leaders to carry out acts of
terrorism on commission. For the leaders of these countries, the confrontation is
already a fact and they are doing everything in their power to emerge victorious
from it.
China's
front policy makes a trusting exchange with China impossible. If all
Chinese citizens and businesses must obey the Communist Party, then they could
potentially pose a threat. We must understand that there are no private companies
from China. In a
market economy, entrepreneurship rests on private ownership, companies are
separate from the state. In China,
all companies must subsidize the state, inconvenient business owners can
"disappear" and all information must be shared with the Communist
Party. The threats from Russia,
China and Iran must be met as they are
coordinated – collectively.
The conflicts cannot be understood or dealt with in isolation and
appeasement policies only lead to escalation. Therefore, a broad palette of
offensive political measures is now required which Sweden, together with other
like-minded countries in the world, should push through.
Against Russia,
the EU and our allies must ensure that Ukraine
has all the support necessary to win and that Russia loses the war. In
relation to China, it is
required that we fully support the democracy of Taiwan
and ensure a broad understanding of the concrete threat China poses.
Against Iran,
the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, IRGC, must be listed as a terrorist and the
popular resistance in Iran
must be supported in every way possible. We can regain the initiative,
move from an obviously failed and laid-back concession policy, to a realistic
and value-driven democracy offensive. The costs may be significant,
but the alternative is war after war and, in the long run, much higher costs. Peace and freedom in our time will only come if we stop
the powers that would rather see war and dictatorship.
Todde
Also check: https://axiom1b.blogspot.com/2024/01/the-earths-nature-is-being-ravaged-by.html