Saturday, August 12, 2017

The atmosphere around our planet

  We breathe and live thanks to the air that surrounds us. It took a long time before our scientists realized that our atmosphere consists of different gases. It was only during the enlightenment and the scientific revolution of the 18th century that our modern western civilization made the groundbreaking discoveries that contributed to the greatest breakthroughs of our civilization.
  We Swedes can feel proud that our famous chemist Carl Wilhelm Scheele was involved in the area, as well as an Englishman, Joseph Priestly. Antoine Lavoisier - one of the greatest scientists of all time – is however the individual who contributed more than anyone else to our undersyanding of the air we breath. Lavoisier was the one who ended the erronius Flogiston theory.

  See the program (it is in English with Swedish subtitles) at:


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Thursday, August 10, 2017

Democracy becomes populism
 when the people think wrong
 

Our politicians today do not want to represent the majority’sperceptions and interests. International political careerattracts more than the national and politicians prefer tofollow international elites along, writes Jan Tullberg.


 In the case of groups with social problems our politicians
prefer to treat them as helpless victims. 
A problematic situation is by no means impossible to get out of. However, the person may
instead have trained him/herself into inability. He/she can no 
longer help him/herself but hopes for help from others.
 
 Responsible people in important positions for the social system
should not suffer such helplessness, but we see more signs of 
how that happens. The EU Commission President Jean-Claude 
Juncker summarized his view in this way:

 We know what everyone needs to do, but we do not know how to 
survive as politicians if we do."
 
 According to their analysis, the error is not in the leaders 
but in democracy. From the citizen perspective, one is struck 
by the many destructive ideas of the politicians. To a large 
extent, they make decisions that counteract what they declared 
themselves willing to do.
 
 Migration contains a number of systematical errors. The UN 
Refugee Commission, with constant lack of money, takes care of 
refugees for SEK 5,000 per person per year. Different 
governments have bureaucratic asylum systems that take care of 
migrants for 200,000 per person per year. Only the Swedish 
migration system costs more per year than the two largest 
international systems cost together (UNHCR + World Food Program). 
 The latter take care of real refugees who, in actual sense, 
"move to safeguard their lives". Sweden instead addresses 
resettlementers who want to upgrade their existence to a higher 
standard. In general terms, if you talk about effective help and 
helping those with the greatest needs, you are opposed. Calling 
the system humanitarian and generous is empty advertising chat.
 
 If you want to solve a problem, it's wise to start early before 
it has grown into a big problem. Moroccan street children get 
older and violent, but both police and social authorities are 
apathetic concerning permanent criminals who should be handled 
before being recruited by criminal leagues. In the suburbs it 
becomes increasingly difficult to get witnesses. The “dialogue 
police” is increasingly emerging as a retreat policy. Citizens 
are forced to get used to coexist with the criminals. It is 
becoming increasingly apparent that the police fail to maintain 
their violence monopoly.
 
 Despite large allocations to the armed forces, a number of 
European countries are unable to defend their borders from an 
invasion by unarmed immigrants. The principle "no more violence 
than necessity demands" is replaced with "no violence even if 
required." In Sweden, coercion may only be used against those 
who are in the "custody" for expulsion. The parliament has also 
decided that children should not be put in the custody, which in 
practice means that families with children can penetrate "with 
us unable to do anything about it".

 Did nobody understand this when the situation developed? At times our politicans realized that something might be wrong, if there was no difference between getting yes or no on an asylum application. The definition of "a regulated immigration" is, of course, that a NO must also mean NO. Another stupid rule is never to send a criminal to his homeland if he is at risk of death penalty for his crime.
 Swedish authorities do not want to be involved. Sweden, however, is involved by the presence of criminals and violent people who walk freely around here until the day their home country agrees to the Swedish code of conduct.
 In order to prevent people from drowning in the Mediterranean, rescue operations such as Italian Mare Nostrum and the Swedish Coast Guard were started. But when people in sea need are picked up, they are strangely not sent back to their port of departy, but into Europe.
 We are following the smugglers' plan. The asylum seeker now hopes for the cooperation between the smugglers and those charged with stopping illegal immigration. As a result, the operation becomes completely counterproductive.
 More people get a free ride into Europe and more die during transit. Even though it's not only wrong, the "rescue policy" continues. The consequences for Swedish society are ignored in favor of a series of insignificant procedural rules and the peoplesmugglers.
 In an American TV movie, the villain is released if the police failed to read his rights or if the search query was incorrectly written. Today's spokesmen are no problem solvers, but opportunists who care for themselves and they take no risks of tramping other rulers on their toes.
 Problems need not be resolved but can be denied. In today's globalized world, a host of events take place that the authorities do not consider themselves able to control, but it seems like the situation with an alcoholic, who prefers to give up when confronted with the temptation to escape from responsibility. If he thinks that the rent is an unforeseen expense, it's good to invest that money in a purchase of more alcohol.
 The modern decision maker looks at migrant flows and crime with the same impotence. One journalist proposed a "power of attorney investigation" to highlight the inability of decision makers.

 The former social elite could also make bad decisions, but they were still driven by an interest in making the best for the Swedish people. It seems clear that today's elites lack that interest.
 Todays representatives want to serve their own interests, not those they represent. Revolt may not be the correct word for the behavior, the word "betrayal" fits better.
 Politicians do not want to represent the majority with their perceptions and interests. An international political career attracts more. Why can’t the voters just be silent and applaud?
 Another task is to appoint him/herself as a representative of a minority, claiming that it must be protected against the prejudices of the national majority.
 It is becoming increasingly clear that democracy must either be abolished or that the term must be interpreted differently.
 Of course, it is not just a new macro perspective that is behind the new attitude but also more personal factors. A hundred years ago, a retailer in our parliament was a representative of the bourgeoisie and a social-democratic raillroad worker remained a worker even though he had a parliamentary place. Now their successors are broilers who are molded and shaped in various youth organisations. They represent no group other than their own.

 Having children of your own is a project that takes a lot of time and effort that could otherwise have been invested in your own political career. Not having children can therefore be an advantage in the competition and it is not surprising that a number of European top politicians are childless. For example: German Federal Chancellor Angela Merkel, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and the newly elected French president Emmanuel Macron, Luxembourg's Prime Minister Xavier Bettel, Scottish Deputy Nicola Sturgeon, British Prime Minister Teresia May and Swedish Prime Minister Stefan Löfven.
 However, the benefit of the childless career can have a negative effect on how to handle the mission. Having children and grandchildren may create an interest in community development in the longer term.
 Will the society be tolerable for the decendants of the politicans? Missing that perspective increases the risk of longterm liability. There are, of course, childless people who show a great social responsibility and parents who miss it, but there seems to be a reasonable hypothesis that parenthood has an impact on decision-makers' societal views.
 Clearly, democracy is not a stable indestructible system. It can be threatened and fall. It is not only threats from small extremist groups, but also threats from the top (elites).
 The political leadership can be benevolent for democracy when the people agree, but they change their attitude when people have other plans for the future than the political elite. Then democracy loses its charm and is called populism.

 JAN TULLBERG Jan Tullberg is a writer and lecturer in business administration. He is the author of the book

 The original article in Swedish at:



Thursday, August 3, 2017


Why do Swedish mass media not want to publish statistics from BRÅ (Council for Crime Prevention)?

 Mass media in Sweden (and elsewhere) talk about "fake news" and claim that they themselves publish the truth - as opposed to "populist media".  It's time to scrap the political correctness (PC) and put it in the trash basket where it belongs.  On this link you will find statistics from BRÅ (article is in Swedish, but you will find a free translation to English below) as politically correct mass media refuse to publish:

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http://freedomoutpost.com/brigitte-gabriel-muslim-woman-claims-majority-muslims-portrayed-badly-peaceful-majority-irrelevant/

 Why the government of Sweden refuses to investigate the criminality of immigrants


 COLUMN. The government today refuses to let the Crime Prevention Council (BRÅ) make a new study of immigrants' crime. But if you update the statistics for criminals of different categories from the 2005 study, it appears that people with immigrant background now seems to commit most of the crimes in Sweden. Economist Jan Tullberg in this article writes about these facts that all the major newspapers in Sweden (including DN, SvD and GP) choose not to publish.

 The government believes that we do not need to investigate the criminality of immigrants any further. Everyone seems to be in agreement that they are overrepresented in crime, but that the difference is reduced when taking into account various socio-economic factors. According to the government, we should not investigate the criminality of immigrants any further, but instead focus on helping them to better their socio-economic circumstances.

 The contest in the Crime Prevention Council's (= BRÅ) 2005 report was to compare the crime rates of different immigrant backgrounds - foreign-born, Swedish-born with two foreign-born parents, and Swedish-born with one foreign-born parent - with those who have two Swedish-born parents. The Swedish group's crime rate was given the value 1.0. The foreigners' crime rate was estimated to be 2.5, that is 150 percent higher than the Swedes. For Swedish-born with two foreign-born parents, the overrepresentation was 2.0 while those with one foreign-born parent had a crime rate of 1.4. This concerns crimes in total, but when you investigate gross violent crime such as robbery, abuse and rape, the overrepresentation of different immigrant groups is considerably higher.

 The latest report from the Crime Prevention Council (BRÅ-2005) analyzes crime in the period 1997-2001, so it may be time for an update. The immigrants have increased by one million from 2000 to 2016, which naturally increased their share of crime in Sweden, and already that change requires an update.

 An additional reason for updating is that the foreign-born today has a changed composition in terms of origin, which could have a big impact on crime rate. BRÅ-2005 compared to BRÅ-1996 and commented that "over-risk" for foreigners increased from 2.1 to 2.5. The report states: "The overcrowding of foreigners has increased due to the fact that some immigrant groups today are to a greater extent registered for crimes than 12 years ago. The increase is instead explained mainly by the fact that the number of persons in Sweden belonging to refugee groups, which has already been shown to be particularly high in previous studies, has increased (p. 11). This update has therefore also taken into account these changes in the calculation of immigrant crime by 2016.

 The analysis in 1996 contains evidence that foreigners can be divided into three groups, those with low, medium and high crime rates. If you examine the distribution between the three groups, you will find significant changes over time. The change of the mix has continued from 2000 to 2016 with a higher proportion of immigrant population who has shown a higher proportion of criminals. The proportion of foreign-born in the group with average crime rates is quite unchanged at 47 percent, while the low-crime group has fallen to 19 percent and the high crime group has increased to 34 percent, a change of about 10 percentage points. This has meant that the excess risk of crime for foreign-born immigrants in Sweden continues to increase, now from factor 2.5 in 2000 to 2.9 by 2016. Immigrant crime is increasing by the immigrants becoming a larger proportion of the population and by the immigrant group having a changed composition .

 Foreigners without Swedish National Registration Number accounted for 7 percent of the criminals in the BRÅ-2005 study. The update counts unchanged proportion of the criminals from this group. This may be too optimistic as the proportion increased from 3 to 7 percent between the two studies BRÅ-1996 and BRÅ-2005. The number of illegal persons and their criminal activity may well have increased further.

 The groups Swedish-born with two foreign-born parents and Swedish-born with one foreign-born parent are calculated with the same upper risk as in BRÅ-2005, 2.0 and 1.4 respectively. This is also optimistic. A higher crime rate in the parenting process probably draws the figures for the second generation.

 BRÅ has previously stated the (positive thinking) that second-generation immigrants in Sweden are less criminal than the first generation, while the relationship in many other countries is the opposite. The major social problems in immigrant areas can be interpreted as signs of increased crime in the second generation of immigrants. But in this article we do not count on increased crime per person, only the two populations have grown. If we update market shares for criminals of different categories from BRÅ-2005, we will get a new picture.

 Of course, it would be best to do a new study.

 Please, one inspired by the 1996 study, which is more ambitious than that made in 2005. Before such a future study is presented, updates should be used as in this analysis, instead of using figures from BRÅ-2005. The survey has a historical interest, but now the best date has passed a long time ago. It should also be stressed that the statistics relate to the number of criminals, not the number of crimes. On average, these people have been linked to almost two crimes per person. However, the number of reported offenses is four times more than those that have been linked to a suspected one. A large part of the offenses with unknown perpetrators have reasonably been committed by persons who are "already known by the police". However, this article does not seek to allocate the total amount of crime but stops at BRÅ's goal of invoking the group of criminals and distributing it among different population categories. Generally, overrepresentation for immigrants increases if you investigate specific serious crimes such as robbery and rape. There have also been a series of new crime categories with very high immigrant involvement: group violence, car fires, attacks on police and other blue-light personnel - and perhaps the most worrying: terrorist attacks in Sweden.

 But even for a wide array of different crimes, coarse and less serious, people with immigrant background commit themselves to judging most of the crimes in Sweden. This article up to the previous paragraph has been sent to Dagens Nyheter, Svenska Dagbladet, Göteborgsposten, Fokus and Today's society. They have all thanked us for this attempt to provide a better basis for analysis and discussion. In many questions, the political establishment wishes ignorance and silence. The media should experience that they have a mission to counteract this veritophobia. But unfortunately, they often fend off the ideal of completing a reviewing and informative function. This is an example.

 TULLBERG